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Kempton race course race analysis – Tuesday 18th June 2013

6:25am - Tuesday 18th June, 2013, written by Richard Mawer 7 Comments
Horse Racing Kempton

Kempton race course hosts an 7 race card this evening on the polytrack.

The going for Kempton Park racing this evening has been declared as STANDARD. The stalls will be on the outside for the 7f race and on the inside for the remaining races. Here are our statistics and race analysis for racing at Kempton races.

Remember to call our popular Kempton phoneline on 0905 005 0490 for our 2 best bets of the day – we are in great form. You can also join our Email Selection Service to receive our selections via email each morning by visiting All-Weather Tips Email Selection Service.

RP Vital Stats For Kempton Today

Today’s Top Travellers

The following horses have travelled the furthest distance to be at today’s meeting.

Horse
Trainer
Race
Miles
Princess Tamay Mark Johnston 8.10 246
Fraserburgh Mark Johnston 7.10 246
Duchess Of Dreams Richard Guest 6.10 214
Spellmaker Tony Newcombe 6.40 192
Red Dakota David C Griffiths 8.10 168
Wyndham Dave Rod Millman 6.40 158
Order Of Service David Brown 9.10 141
Sweet Marwell Jo Crowley 7.40 119
Ebony Song Jo Crowley 6.40 119
Phoenix Angel Derek Shaw 8.10 116

First Time Blinkers Today

The following table shows horses fitted with blinkers for the first time today.

Horse
Race
Guardi 6.40
Jacobella 8.40
Nenge Mboko 9.10

 

Racing Profits Horses For Courses

Horses who have won at least 3 times at Kempton on the polytrack.

Horse Race Runs Wins Wins Over Trip
Diplomatic 7.10 18 5 2

Racing Profits Weight Watchers

Horses who have dropped in the handicap to a lower mark than they have won off over the past year on polytrack.

Horse Race Last Winning Mark Mark Today Difference
Rapid Water 6.40 55 53 -2
The Happy Hammer 7.1068 67 -1

Today’s Top Jockeys & Trainers

Top 10 Jockeys

The following table shows the Top 10 Jockeys for horse racing Kempton racecourse over the past 5 seasons.

Jockey
Wins – Rides
Win %
£1 Stake
Jim Crowley 127–874 15% -28.32
Adam Kirby 108–743 15% -70.08
Liam Keniry 56–692 8% -276.32
Ian Mongan 52–501 10% +37.32
Shane Kelly 49–501 10% -137.27
Kieren Fallon 49–324 15% -86.06
Chris Catlin 45–560 8% -172.51
Seb Sanders 42–462 9% -235.43
William Carson 37–404 9% -183.19
Joe Fanning 37–287 13% -52.30

Stat Tip:

Top 10 Trainers

The following table shows the Top 10  Trainers for Kempton over the past 5 seasons.

Trainer
Wins – Rides
Win %
£1 Stake
Richard Hannon 105–710 15% -47.82
Andrew Balding 58–347 17% -1.67
Tony Carroll 53–480 11% -99.97
Mark Johnston 52–367 14% -110.19
Ralph Beckett 49–229 21% +65.15
David Evans 38–351 11% -129.97
Jim Boyle 37–333 11% -77.30
Marco Botti 37–241 15% -19.81
Dean Ivory 32–320 10% +1.25
David Simcock 25–218 11% -102.50

Stat Tip: 

Favourites

The following table shows how favourites have faired at Kempton over the last 5 Seasons.

Non-Handicap Races

By Favourite
Runs
Wins
Win %
£1 Stake
2yo 327 129 39 -21.74
3yo 344 155 45 -12.07
4yo+ 191 75 39 -11.06
Total 862 359 42 -44.87

Handicap Races

By Favourite
Runs
Wins
Win %
£1 Stake
 2yo 135 42 31 -6.76
 3yo 631 183 29 -107.18
 4yo+ 1035 301 29 -54.47
 Total 1801 526 29 -168.41

Kempton Standard Times

The following table shows the standard course times for the different distances run in today’s races.

Distance
Type
Time
5f 1m 0.10s
6f 1m 12.70s
7f 1m 27.00s
1m 1/2 1m 46.1s
1m 1 1/2 1m 57.30s
1m 4f 2m 35.50s

RP Today’s Race Analysis

Remember to call our popular Kempton phoneline on 0905 005 0490 for our 2 best bets of the day – we are in great form. You can also join our Email Selection Service to receive our selections via email each morning by visiting All-Weather Tips Email Selection Service.

Race 1: 6.10 – Ladies Day At Kempton 07.09.2013 Apprentice Handicap – class 6 – 3yo(0-60) – 1m3f

A tricky opener to call with none of these yet to have won a race and add into the equation amateur jockeys makes it a punting minefield. Alpine Mysteries (IRE) has come close to breaking her maiden with a string of placed efforts. She has one of the best jockeys on her back. Slip Of The Tongue will no doubt be popular stepped up in trip for his handicap debut. He is likely to leave his maiden form behind and he has to if he was to get involved. His sire Zamminder is 1/13 2 places over course and distance with his progeny. Dude Alert (IRE)  returns from a lengthy break and is stepped up in trip on his handicap debut. He was well beaten last time when seen in a seller. His sire Windsor Knot is 1/5 at Kempton. Running Bull (IRE) ran here yesterday over 12f and was well beaten. He is hard to fancy if turning out again. The rest are hard to fancy. Not a race we would get involved in betting wise. Slip Of The Tongue and Alpine Mysteries make the most appeal with slight preference for Alpine Mysteries who has a fitness edge and is our selection.

Race 2: 6.40 – Betvictor No Lose Hughes Money Back Handicap – class 6 – 4yo+(0-60) – 1m

Victorian Number (FR) is up 4lb for a short head victory last time out here over 7f. He stays the mile having gone close over course and distance, he has a tricky draw to overcome  though which make landing the 3 timer harder. Strategic Action (IRE) bounced back to form last time out at Lingfield just being touched off. He is a course and distance winner and although 4lb above his last winning mark he is in form which is more than can be said for some of these. Spellmaker is 9lb better off with Victorian Number for a 2 length defeat here over 6f. He is still lightly raced after just the 8 runs. His sire Khelyf is 2/45 6 places over course and distance. Rapid Water is a dual course and distance winner and only 1lb above his last winning mark. He finished behind Rigid over course and distance in April and they re-oppose on the same terms. Rigid is also a dual course and distance winner and 2lb below his highest winning mark. Blue Deer (IRE) is a quirky sort but is well handicapped if on a going day. Not a race we could go mad in but at the prices Rigid makes some appeal from the foot of the weights and is our e/w selection.

Race 3: 7.10 – Betvictor Royal Ascot No Lose Hughes Handicap – class 5 – 3yo+(0-75) – 1m

Hill Of Dreams (IRE) has been raised 9lb for an easy win last time at Bath. She is in form and progressive but she will find this a lot tougher. Future Reference (IRE) has been raised 2lb for his 2nd last time behind Labienus, here over 7f. He is still lightly raced after just the 6 starts and makes plenty of appeal with his weight for age allowance. Fraserburgh (IRE) has just the 1 win to his name on the sand at Southwell. He has run some good races as a juvenile most notably pushing Morawij to a neck at Haydock. He is still lightly raced after just 12 starts and with the yard in better form of late it would be no surprise to see an improved effort today. Bajan Story has threatened to run a big race and break his maiden but he was below par last time out and may have to wait for another day. Be My Rock is still lightly raced and has claims if fit on his seasonal reappearance. Saxon Rock makes his handicap debut of a workable mark. His sire has a good record at Kempton but only 5/65 12 places over course and distance. Future reference is likely to be well found in the market after an eye catching run last time out but we think the value lies with Fraserburgh who is much better than he has shown this year and with the yard in form he is our e/w selection.

Remember to call our popular Kempton phoneline on 0905 005 0490 for our 2 best bets of the day – we are in great form. You can also join our Email Selection Service to receive our selections via email each morning by visiting All-Weather Tips Email Selection Service.

Race 4: 7.40 – Betvictor Royal Ascot Money back Special Median Auction Stakes – class 5 – 3-4yo – 1m

Master Wizard finished runner up here over 6f on debut last December in a race that is working out well. He makes plenty of appeal if ready to go on his seasonal reappearance. His sire motivator is 4/42 13 places over course and distance. Blighty (IRE) is a half brother to Bon Allumage who finished 5th here on debut and won on her 2nd start at Wolverhampton. He makes obvious appeal on paper. Conquestadim has shown a high level of ability on both starts but the drop back in trip isn’t sure to suit. Estibaab (IRE) is not without ability but will need to step up to get involved here. None of the others make any appeal. A tricky race to call with race fitness an unknown for some of the main players. Blighty makes a lot of appeal as does Conquestadim despite the drop in trip but we feel that Blighty can make a winning debut for the in form Lady Cecil and he is our selection.

Race 5: 8.10 – Betvictor.Com Maiden Auction Stakes – class 5 – 2yo – 6f

Cockney Bob is the most exposed of these but he sets a fair standard. His 3rd last time out at Bath has been boosted by the 2nd and 6th winning since and the winner finishing runner up in the Woodcote. He has yet to run on the polytrack but he should handle it. Cockney Rebel has a decent record over course and distance with his progeny 2/14 6 placed. Mount Cheiron (USA) ran below market expectations on debut having been sent of favourite at Sandown. It will be interesting to see how he fares in the market today. The form is working out well with 3 of the 1st 4 home winning next time out. His sire has made a positive start to his stallion career and he should have no problems with the surface. Princess Tamay (IRE) has been disappointing to date. She will have to step up to get involved here. The return to 6f is a positive. None of the others make any appeal either making their debuts or running for a mark. Cockney Bob sets the standard and will be hard to beat but Mount Cheiron is clearly better than he he showed on debut and is given another chance in a weak looking race. Mount Cheiron is our selection.

Remember to call our popular Kempton phoneline on 0905 005 0490 for our 2 best bets of the day – we are in great form. You can also join our Email Selection Service to receive our selections via email each morning by visiting All-Weather Tips Email Selection Service.

Race 6: 8.40 – Silver Blaze Wessex Cup Fillies Handicap – class 5 – 3yo+(0-70) – 1m4f

A competitive looking fillies handicap with 5 of the 9 runners in with a realistic chance. Irene Kennet continued her progression with her first win on turf last time out at Bath. That was her 4th win of the year. She is up 7lb against some progressive horses but she is clearly thriving, she has won twice over course and distances and respected. Asia Minor (IRE) has shown ability but is up against it here having to concede weight to some progressive 3 year olds. Thwart stepped up on her juvenile form since she started handicapping. She found Love Marmalade too good at Nottingham before making no mistake last time out here, over 11f. There is more to come on just her 5th start. Brigh (IRE) finished 2 1/2 lengths in front of Spieta at Newcastle before breaking her maiden at Lingfield beating Aryal who has won twice since and Tebees Oasis who also won her next start. There is more to come from this daughter of Galileo and she sets the standard. Spieta found only subsequent winner London Bridge too strong on her seasonal reappearance and is not ruled out despite having a bit to find with Brigh. Magika was progressive before running a shocker last time at Lingfield on her first try at 12f, she is hard to fancy on the back of that run. A trappy contest with several progressive horses in the line up. Irene Kennet is progressive but she may find it difficult conceding weight to some progressive 3 year olds. Spieta will have her support but we feel that Brigh is the one to beat and is our selection.

Race 7: 9.10 – Royal Ascot Money back At Betvictor.Com Handicap – class 5 – 3yo(0-75) – 7f

North Pole is sure to be popular hailing from a powerful yard renowned with rapidly improving horses once sent handicapping. He is a half brother to the smart Krypton Factor. the sire stats for Compton Place over course and distance with his progeny are very poor 6/107 17 places. Clement (IRE) has been raised 4lb for a comfortable win last time out at Lingfield. He won previously over course and distance and is clearly going the right way after just the 8 starts. He will find this tougher but he cannot be ruled out. Order Of Service won his first start of the year here over a mile but has developed wayward tendencies since and is hard to fancy on the back of his woeful effort last time out at Ripon. He is dropped in trip which isn’t sure to suit either. Nenge Mboko put in some decent runs as a juvenile before breaking his maiden at the 6th attempt. He has returned this year below par and has a bit to prove at present. Dark Templar ran below par last time out on turf but has claims on the back of his 4th place over course and distance behind Clement. He has just over a length to find with Clement but is 7lb better off. Broughtons charm (IRE) has showed plenty of ability in his 3 runs to date and looks to hold big claims if ready to run after a long absence. North Pole is sure to be popular because of connections. We think that Dark Templar makes some e/w appeal and is our selection.

Remember to call our popular Kempton phoneline on 0905 005 0490 for our 2 best bets of the day – we are in great form. You can also join our Email Selection Service to receive our selections via email each morning by visiting All-Weather Tips Email Selection Service.

We are back for more action at Kempton Race Course tomorrow, Wednesday 19th June 2013 with an evening AW fixture, so make sure you check back then for the kemptonracecoursetips.co.uk free race analysis of the card.

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